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HomeMy WebLinkAbout1987-11-16 Council Packet - Work Session, BicentennKenai City Council Work Session November 16, 1987 Kenai Bicentennial - 1991 CITY OF KENAI „Od G?d Aril o f A"„ SID FIDA:AO KENAI, AWU f/411 Irm"HONEEq-TUS NOTICE OF WORK SESSION The Kenai City Council will be holding a work session on Monday, November 16, 1987-at 6:00 PN in the Council chambers. To be discussed: 1. Kenai Bicentennial - 1991 2. Establishment of Bicentennial Commission The public is invited to attend and participate. ,Janet Whelan, CMC City Clerk DATED: November 7, 1987 L r-- -- s F lov 1 4�°v� flu r i iu 66 i 1 :I 1; t Id �i f; L L m mmal MIMI i ' Ja m U7N OU00 0 0u7Q 000 ! w w w w � w w w w w w +• • NNOtf�IfJCaO O �pj 0 $o o �. a or 04 wza�b W4 Ja z0 3 yr� 0u to ed a 04iC oe r I CITY OF KENAI "old capital aj 4 218 ROALGO KENAI. AL"KA On" TILWHON1283-MIS NOTICE Or WORK SESSION The Kenai city -council -will be holding awork-session an Monday, November 16, 1987 at 6:00 PH in the Council chambers. To be discussed: 1. Kenai Bicentennial - 1991 2. Establishment of Bicentennial Commission The public is invited to attend and participate. /.' �anet Whelan, CMC City Clerk DATED: November 7,, 1987 11 "I Al )r---D a - CITY 4F KENAI „ad C;ayaW oj oQ4m4a„ 210 FIDALOO KENAI, ALASKA 991111 TELEPHONE 283.7535 701 William J. Brighton FROM: Charles A. Brown SUBJECT: Convention Center DATE: November 6, 1984 Attached is a workpaper estimating revenues relating to a Convention Center (Community Center?). The assumptions upon which the numbers were based were not developed by me, and I have no assurances that they are reasonable. The primary assumptions ware: 1) We'd have 10 conventions of 350 people per year. 2) We'd have 15 conventions of 150 people per year. 3) All conventions last 3 days.. . 4) All attendants stay the full'3 days in Kenai,. and spend $150 per day in Kenai. perhaps a good question is: Where's the break—even point, given an annual operating cost of $256,000 per year? Let's assume that we have an average of 57.5 conventions per year, each with 200 people attending for 3 days, using 3 rooms each day. The ballroom is used once in each convention. And, we have 52 miscellaneous rentals during the year. Room Rental by conventions: ' - 57.5 X $125 X 3 X 3 $ 64,688 Ballroom Rental: 28,750 I 57.5 X $500 b-' Miscellaneous Rentals: .: 52 X $125 500 6.500 L93 ' Total Rental Sales Tax: $150 X 3 X 57.5 X 200 X .03 _1555,250 Grand Total 23 5 84 I made the ame -assumptions about salsa tax (each personspends $150-per day...__ in Kenai for 3 days). { This would indicate that, in order to break even, we'd need a fairly large -- ; convention more often than once each week. ntal portion could be accounted for. Thera Also, keep in•mind that only the rei is no reasonable way to keep track of sales tax revenue that could be generated. ..•cam,. 7 _ __ a] _ fl r 0 (3) 10 i�';ytati'j��t♦1t,:.0ti7i...ilif'+:y..�, '.t• '.t .f ., • I, 'CONVENT ItON CENTER REVENUE C* ;`� }�'.}!'I1pALLROOM$ ='5*$4000++5*$6000.r� I ONS AMOUNT s ! 51000 J u • a ! 5 SMALL CON 41 ., • .,y4UUMT ^� �r 1`., , f ':, h'.1 �, i':'1>t. :r'l.!' Lr .f ir'i.': lii•r�' q '•ih I �`sL b ,Kfl<?�1' �,y/,t � 4.wI�..ff•'4.k�'2�' �.�,•t, 'S ;�<.: ft•. .;fL• :i•, ='if. .t, n>..1,;:.• U: �,1IJ,' t;'"`':,� '"'y�',fL- ck,t,. :: Y,� .". S•'�' f1:: 1 .25.iQO*fi25*3*2 .MFj�i': a. '�''.�.5t.''�.;:, •un'' JI., .��..'�. ;',".i..1 �....3i .: .1.1".�� _•'rs• i r•;� ;:.� +' ,,;e'•:4�.01r, , s i 1 l : r i Ll'�TOTAL RENTALB 39, 750 ' ;.y ,..; .�; .,1...�., „t"fit: "i•'k.t"�^; .l:``. '^r,: ±�i':.k:, .:��;..j :..�,i.�� '!� t. '. .;.; ;t �:y 1 �,t•.�'�� ,. t i�l�ri, t 4r; ,q , •"� ; L ,}. ;�:'rc;r ti •., ,. r t. :'' _'t -� i .,+;�' . �; '_ �.�: •L•Y{ari!�:i+�>��ftz:k;,4` •- ;@.::ra:�: sL•.. :,,•(jA ., : ,j8ALE8�,,!.•- ;''."r.`,''.:.e•_.fy:. ;:, •' .l:a,+, y�•,;'::f3.t'i'..t`:- . e•lF,,U•' . -.d.c}:.•.l. r-,•>.` ,.,r'�c' i?::�'i:' �q1.G�';tv;,.,,.-✓yp;'.,'r"'.� '1._gi:n�:'}•l,��y�;j !' : f. ,;c"•hl0"LAAGE CONVENTIONS (350) `' .•: : r 47, 250 DAYS, ''# 150/DAY, 3'/. h: ;y ':'• �..-•� ,p.jit{ �:,,,,;:: a: I - - •'., t.n >i'se a.J•l!: � ! '%AT:• F.•' �' : M.1i�yJ'y. r..�l f.a! ,>:' +�;j`.«:' , h 1'.� l:. 1;'t' R• �, �(' tt',:`r., 1. /.1,'.Yj i :'i'; ! .t �. •H,+a.'.rF •' %..r' :..t ;rv'1 r;+ tS 'tY : '�. �` 2t � � ;'�rl.a .'a t' a�i'l.:r };J'�;'.:J '.�, •S-�,���• g,: !.-. - c_ NVENT IONS `�y18 ) ' sx �,,, .<.r i.,;.t''-. JJ ;: "; Y :••I?:\ Rs:•:J:a ': Ir•;: , ,•�, "MRLL..CO - r '•`!tLK .i'ts�S,v ri +I�V3�.:( pp�'r;.; •ii,'.(t?xti '��r"�%)�r,iv'+..''t'rC f 'r r3Q. t ,•�ts ,`•fir}(yt!� ' 375�y ,tc,#.150/DAYS•3GYO :., � ••J q ; •i ,:Ijr, e n. i SALES TAX .779625 : i•, zfQ: \ k i �• •Ir• c _ .. .. .. "• .ar"w►:,., .4.' t1". .{�' '.!:> ?� 't•iPi"'i1(:i).',f ,r,jll :,:C?ii'`jj:et.1;�''1t;°av'.]?f.!'+:,..,jav'7!��;�"fi`.:`�!••'.iYL'R'Pi'St`I •�, l •M ry %��.;:.f'� 1 Yr:tio •:�::.. IA . � i � t`s .}.� .. Y•j ��". •� �, • �.' : f,t•t+e .i :: ), ,t:;x. 1;: F'`;w fry . f C;•. 1 '7'iy'>. ::^.',rti,;,$:�;:.a ,.' r 't: 1j, �l•.••: -fir .x^:,r i.rs;;; 1. } �. �..,,• �:,.ar t', °.�:t;' � % � �,....:. �=.. r.117' 37$ . , 1• : 4 ,,. ky,k•" r•' ' <. fit! RAND `tT.QTAL:'r:� s.: Vt'•.>. ..:?- :<: t:.,...;...*�,..:.`..:,:, g ,�,.+': �, �., Cq !� �•y,t t{. ±k� 7§ s V 'i .tt� 'A „ L t: N,klk 1 :. I✓':� t i�! p JI ^,/, ii 'h[� }<: :ikk fNs:r�d;rt `l+t� �:� �� f+ , r i} ' ;r•: :1:..` t �i,* w t is �r Y-a `" c.a: "' ; # L'S F r / Fa:, tJ • ".F.. l 5 ta�47{•y ;'.'J'i • ; µ 4 a.: i�('�", (i/'�'��} `,.t;�i . 751/.-�*'. .nj .••:•.1;.6, 1.: :�i 11.�. • ' flt . l' .. .•� r ..<.. :R��''r���4t�. i1 "�':A88UMPTIONSs ANNUALLY,. WE WOULD HAVE 10 LARGE CONVENTIONS (350 PEOPLE) ea�t �a•:;.u; CI`S1hRtthVEN'i'iS OR `3:. DAYS.'L`AROE CONVENTIONS WILL'USE 3 MEETINO''ROOMS EACH "DAY.';°:xr� SMALI:�:CONVENTION8 WILL':"USE 2 :MEETING ROOMS EACH',DAY. ':'AL,L 'CONVENTIONS EACH PER50N WILL gPSACCRO ENMof DTHERF��3 DAYS IN KENAI, AND SPEND $150 PER DAY IN KENAI. w "t "i, r'>iji:}Si: Lrg�Ri•<?�•Y,.>a::.,;,: .,,. ..., }i.. t {r f t,,hpEMARKBs `.:THE SALFm TAX REVENUE WILL.' BE RECORDED IN THE OENERAI: FUND. ; ' ; ,�'q?' •,, ;t:.;THEREFORT H ONLY ' THE RENTAL WILL ' BE A REVENUE � SOURCE TO THE -FACILITY.. - WE momwow--y $2569000 PER YEAR. BASED UPON THAT FIGURE, THE FACILITY WOULD ;'LOSE ABOUT $2169250 PER YEAR. EVEN IF WE COUNT THE SALES TAX REVENUE `',] FMAKe WUU - - - 'n t `/ 6tI. 4t. ,!1�`1•. p:;•i>r a .i..a � '�,:. •1 ., t •i .t•'` .`�;i..,;it<:<.. ... .. �a•'•.ti: ' � \'� ��; •:1tilfll", •i.�)XSdL aI'�:y ..te � - .. _ •� „ ----- � , ;.l ti .:`h. ��r: t1. .. ..r ... -- .- f`•- ..' �� �� `y ,,.�'•.•,�vr � �'i" :���'9: n`•d�"'t�.'r..:;���.� r r,r• •7; aye¢} xi: ;"A,•. .. .1 •'•:..•f: „jA'•w•.o' ',, � . It'' .} ..: > .. y\..t'� '�t r.. sa �.ti, g` ... t"�rtL. 11 ' ;:; r.'t•� .:fir,'. '• 1.•r 'fCJ •A .�.,"�,'� ••.Sy':: St.�t•!f(•.•, , . ' •�;i.r:ti., .t'1 •. '' �M: ;fn ' w .ff• 4i%i ! � ' •;C ' :.•'.• ••l.:It••..�I 1,'w4• � :�J; t.f,• �'r �` �,,if .; •,la.:�i'^a :a. � 4�: r?4. • �r�• . 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'r�•K.��..•,,%�� ..1 ,I •��'. it �'i `... t:f.: • 4.'.i rt•f %.•1.'f.• r1f {'4�• w•:4Si,'./i Iy:: •�qZ ' +�Y �, {� 1ti .Y'y: w.yl'• 't�Jr''�?, r �'�: y'1 y.:'•• ii,4 `',„}s� . �CN:•� 'Y,�, •• .�• S: �t:':{is' i � r t •h ,, llK��1�11 V ro L1, s t ,4 . ����� �' '''.:, • ':••� �r.0• .tt,Ri;'• I;..•:t•'�t't •r•�}''bir;• i' }'�: •. .1:1r •''tt�4�,"�'. •. :ey,•r,•lir:':.r• �f(St. ••n:...,*��;�s, �;. �4•.' •+'Y:'• 'r .l•;.(y:•r. ,�•p.p �t',�� •�r't,11'+•' ••�Z` ;1 t. w° . V td (+p.�QQ J' •' .?" Yfr ;7; t•rs�r •it:.. .{;;� } •.r• r , '.. 'art ''• a''+•"i•}.rsf�� 53 +.i't �•1�v-'+�j. 'k �.' •.••� '•a♦.' ' ''�5; �'�'X +' f:•�s;1:. "t, rt•j� ,1 ,1Q��iJ P •�.J) jm� .�i. .y 'ii•tt'jr .1t•; f�• r: . •�t'•'1 •Y�'0 x����, ;'i.5'�+,t ,'t'��4•�' .:..'r .t ::x•�J-X:•',• dt{`•. �i�:gr(��j,$"r~Mr 4Q� '••j� .i',?.,•.v%'r•�, :•r;t..•�r'��t.►�t. F 1S '•M�ww.r. . .....• :� f.••L �+.•?y"':�`_C;:• a yP•i •�-•� :M..:O 3�30 .P 41mN+111 1•.,.. ia/ •i•; ''r '�'2:'•v,R.• S f 1 ,r n "4"w•• G g yr • t:'r .: y .. •. ' t � f. __ - - -- • 1 :' �: •,,,• \�rl r h�.� S' P W m N u" N A i': �i i'h"�. •';��St„+•C. l!; �• L 7 P k .y` CITY OF KENAI �,, . •opt e� 4" P t . 210 FIDALOO KENAI, ALASKA •9611 TELEPHONE 283.7535 January 249 1985 Me. Sans Efird Office of Management and Budget State of Alaska Pouch AM Juneau, Alaska 99811 REs Kenai Community Center Dear Me. Efirds The City of Kenai has listed the Kenai Community Center as its number one priority in its 1965-86 Capital Improvement Projects Request for State Grants. I. Please find enclosed s 1. Book entitled "City of Kenai•1985-86 Capital Improvement Projects Requests for State Grants" and 5 copies of our brochure. 2. Report entitled "Kenai Community Center Committee". l 3. Report entitled "Kenai Community Center Summary of Estimated Annual Revenue and Expenditures". - 4. Full set of construction pleas (see Page A3 for flnnr a. plans). u The City of Kenai is very excited about the future Kenai Community Center. The City has requested $3,5009000 from the We State of Alaska for the construction of the community center. have spent 'b1869000 for the architectural design of the building. The City has also agreed to fund the purchase of the 5 acres of $207,000. Therefore land for the center which is estimated at the City is participating in 10.1% of the total cost of the project. •..... ,. - ` . _ .:.. -- - - -- - - -- - - - _ - - -- --- - - - - - c - !-self . Duc - - We have determined that the Center will not pay f r i --------------_-__------------.. that the Center will cost 5138,625 more then • ,.. „ . . , ,;,; -_mt1m�t_es_1ndicste the revenues it will take in. ----he City of Kenai Is willing -and -- able to subsidise the center. The Mayor and Council of the City of Kenai have pledged their affirmative vote for the maintenance and operational cost of the canter. The City pledges not to r request additional funds for construction nor any future i operating funds. i Sincerelyp Wm. 31. Bright City Manager WJ6/dg "I Enclosures i i L j KENAI COMMUNITY CENTER COMMITTEE Mayor Tom Wagoner appointed a Kenai Community Center Committee on November 30, 1983. Those appointed to the committee wares Ran Malaton, Chairman Louisa Miller Connie Keevil Tom Murphy Penny Byer Jim Carter Jim Evanson Leroy Heinrich Lon Hals Councilwoman Sally Bailie, ad hoc The committee has held public hearings an the following dates: February 29, 1984 March 14, 1984 April 12, 1964 May 1, 1984 May 179 1984 June 4, 1984 July 10, 1984 August 6, 1984 August 27# 1984 September 19, 1984 September 24, 1984 January St 1983 The committee has successfully followed a logical procedure in accompliphing the following tasks: 1. Selected a Sites The committee and City Council has designated a 5 acre site near the Senior Center overlooking the Kenai River and Cook Inlet. 2. Determine the type of facility and what different functions the center would provides It was determined that the center Y would be a multi-purposo facility with no special interest - groups. Below is a chart of group typesand different raciiiftes,needed In tho proposed Community Center. 'COMMUNITY CONVENTION CULTURAL Receptions Banquets - Max 500 Lobby Banquets - 500 Max Meeting Rooms/storage Kitchen Meeting rms/storaqo Multi -purpose space Museum/Secured Multi-purpoee space Lobby Gallery/Secured Lobby Kitchen Portable Staqe/ Kitchen Portable Stage/Lighting Lighting Portable Stage/ Lighting 11 W 1 MANAGERIAL INCOME PRODUCING f Office Concessions Storage Cloak Rooms Maintenance Shop Vending Machines Loading Platform _ C loa'< Rooms • -. Toilets f Ticket Office Pay Phones { Mechanics Room ;. etermine the number of people needed Study user groups and d to accommodate. •' � a. Study the plans of other community centers and visit and I analyze in depth the following centers: Centennial Building - Sitks Egan Center - Anchorage Valdez Convention Center -Valdez Centennial Hall - Juneau 9. In depth study of operating a community center: The committee discussed in depth: 1 Operating costs - revenue vs* expenditures j uses , Justification and exploration of nationwide organizations Lists of prospective usevenQnlorofitstate ocgan P i; City use, commercial use , Repair and maintenance coats - upkeep Types of services provided - Rates and payments I Reservation and deposit methods Kitchen and catering operations I, Rules and regulationa I' Days and hours of operation take down services E Janitorial --cleaning an4 setup Concession services i and contractual agreements with users .•,. �.S Legal requirements Advertising, promoting and notices Records and audits Bonds and insurance Permits, licenses and taxes - 6. Outline what is wanted with architect and commission architect for Schematic design of center. _. approve schematic desiq n ..and-commise-coned s_ar�►eM 7. Review and Kluge to design ca _.:..; ith William in association wn -_-__GInt_o-Li with ar Review prel�eiatahaltla3sdividablohtoe6tmeetingirooms, amain dividable g and three smaller gallery areas, storage areas, ceetr landscaping, parking, warm-up dressing room, manager's area,' �i Lfr KENAI COMMUNITY CENTER SUMMARY OF ESTIMATED ANNUAL REVENUE & EXPENDITURES .. ESTIMATED ANNUAL REVENUE (INCOME) Meeting room rentals i 22,500 11,000 - Great hall rental Misc. rental, concessions, cloak room, vendors 6,250 '- Subtotal S 39,750 ::... '. *Additional sales tax est. 779625 ` Total estimated annual revenue 117 7 ESTIMATED ANNUAL EXPENDITURE (EXPENSE) Salaries and benefits (Manager, secretary, 2-1/2) $179,000 :__....__ ......- .. Utilities$ 18,000 - Electrical 6,000 Gas S00 _ Refuse S00 Water and Sewer 2,000 Telephone 20,000 ! Janitorial 5,000 Transportation 5,000 Promotion 20.000 Supplies & Misc. ----• 56 00 '> *Total Revenue $117,375 + Total Expenditure $256+000 ' *Difference $-1389625 i :; .. *NOTE: Per City -ordinance, sales tax torecorded GenereT Fund be directlyidentified with the - -- Revenue and ther�fo_ro_will not Community Center. 7 r type of construction and exterior deeigndencefloor decorating, a worming kitchen facility, { "7f platform, Furniture, etc. g, Setting up criteria for a planned development of City land adjacent to the center to enhance and be compatible with the cent er a I` I i , J of � � •�'y. ., - L k J Lru, i §[JBSTITUTE Suggested By: Legal Department CITY OF KENAI ORDINANCE 1139-87 AN ORDINANCE OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF KENAI, ALASKA, AMENDING THE KENAI MUNICIPAL CODE TITLE 1 WITH THE ADDITION OF CHAPTER 1.59 ENTITLED "KENAI ADVISORY BICENTENNIAL COMMISSION" AND AMENDING KMC 1.90.060. WHEREAS,•it has been determined that there is a need for a Kenai Advisory Bicentennial Commission to plan and coordinate the - preservation and development of significant areas of the City's history; and, WHEREAS, 1991 will mark the Bicentennial of the City of Kenai; and, WHEREAS, this Commission will also be assigned the task of preparing for a celebration of this event; and, WHEREAS, the Council desires this Commission to be exempt from the residency requirement for commissions, committees and boards, as set forth in KMC 1.90.030, due to the area -aide interest and importance of Kenai's Bicentennial. NOW THEREFORE BE IT ORDAINED BY THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF KENAI, ALASKA, that the Kenai Municipal Code be amended as follows: §Section 1: That Title 1 of the Kenai Municipal Code be amended by the addition of Chapter 1.59 entitled "Kenai Advisory Bicentennial Commission," and enacted in its,entirety as shown.i.n Exhibit "'V" L 1] PASSED BY THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF KENAI, ALASKA, this 18th day of November, 1987. JOHN J. WILLIANS, MAYOR ATTEST: Janet Whelan, City Clerk First Reading: October 21, 1987 Second Reading; November 4, 1987 Third Reading: November 18, 1987 Effective Date: December 18, 1987 5 1, .i 'f if section 1: L. Chaipter 1.59 ADVISORY BICENTENNIAL COMMISSION 1 59,010 Dutie,- and Posters. 1 - 1.59.020 Qualifications. utie d o ers: The Commission shall be 1 re uired to do L� Develop theSOIA213-SEL ado t aiter� or revise subiect to anprovai by 4 of _ ti ;+ the City Council and �tithin ninet 90 d s o establis meat Goals and ODWSM .yes Plan for the celebratio ,. Commiasion� a in 1991. of the Bicentennial of the City of enai Council, uron apnrova ;t b S bmit to t}�e City Mana er aDd ' therea ter, an not Objectives Pien an f{ of the Goals and 190) days prior to the beginning of the budget less t a ainetj improvements, which_in the t: year• n list of recommended capital or desira le to_be j ar_e_ necessary - oppinioO, of the constructed for LeL Es_tabiish Bicentennial Commies ion, the celebration of the Kenai Bicentennial Eacets._of t e statherin of cultural as recommended i4 subcommittees_ to to lands, finances, structures, in data. and any other subcommittees ?� and historical jn the Goals and (d) Research grants_from Federal, Objectives Plan. ro ari vrocur0 wtith _�pD _y al of Council, related other sources that Bicentennial State, private, or any -. ,„ may: boco e_ avail�bie to promote the Kenai . r:. �..59r 020 a ii cations: a The Commission•members are i� tsnecificnii�xemvte rom a residency rectuirementa as state iri KMC i.90.030. All other requirements. duties, - terms, and nroceedinQs ' are as stated in KMC_1.90. 4I I } I/ pection 2: 1.90.060 Specific Requirements of Boards,, CO ��aZid Committees: [SPECIFIC DUTIES AND POWERS OF THE LIBRARY COMMISSION, HARBOR COMMISSION, PLANNING & ZONING COMMISSION, RECREATION COMMISSION, AND LANDSCAPING/SITE PLAN REVIEW BOARD AS DEFINED IN SECTIONS 1.57. 11.10, 14.05, AND 19.05, WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT. CREATION, QUALIFICATIONS, TERMS AND PROCEEDINGS FOR THESE FIVE COMMISSIONS WILL BE AS STATED IN -THIS SECTION ON PROCEDURES.] Reguirements of boards, conun�,esioins and committees . _ IOIJOPT@O Ly Lajn elkT.naarm wasa�._ �, a •••• •••••• reau iremanteAound in code sections -specifically s�ertainil}Q to individual boards, commissions An committees. i CITY OF KENAI %Od OapdW 4 4" ' ' � a�o�no�eo IfNNAl,auie�u► nm _. _ TlI.WII0N!!q•7ili CITY OF KEMAI 1988 - 89 CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROJECT FRIGUNsTs FOR STATZ GRANTS ROAD PROJECTS The following road projects ($3,355,000) are the City of Kenai's top priorities and we are asking the Governor to include them in the Governor's Capital improvement Budget. 1. VIP Subdivision - VIP/Lora Drive/Watergate/ Retch St. - Loop (Strip Paving) $1,000,000 2. Trading Bap (Drainage - Curbs A Gutters) 250,000 3. Swires - Spur to School (Strip paving) and School to Lawton (loop)(gravei) 330,000 4, Old Town - Upland, Highland, and Cook (Paving 6 includes some water and sewer) 550,000 S. Linwood, Candlelight, Kaknu, Lawton, Baker, Kiana (Paving) $50,000 6. East Aliak and Highbush (Paving) 375,000 t�•. The following road projects • ar e. a continuatiou of . • the W-tg c9 Kenai's top priorities and we 'are asking the Alaska State Legislature to not only support the above requests but also the projects listed below. 7. Kiana, Colonial, Steelhead & Kulilia (Gravel & 450,000 includes some water and sewer) S. ist, and and 3rd (East of Forest) (Gravel) 300,000 9. N. Spruce, Second, and Third (Paving and includes some water and sewer) 9000000 10: HEM -Haller, Evergreen, McRiniey, N. Gill, and, 3rd, and 4th (Paving) 11100,000 -1- -..r111YYriax�r>.:;r....,,,:.�a=rcc�.u. +aa�.fi.,..�.;.; .a,-a:::�,.ir".t..,.:c•_�,- ...,, ... _ r �,.^.u�ii�tel�:;�.i:�.�1�it't1�`ww '.,�'�',.`iYa';`z:�_.:iGwwvaa._-� : �'�.�9 a HEALTH AND SAFETY PROJECTS The following projects are to be considered of health and safety Importance: �,. Street Lights $ 100,000 2, Fire Truck 840,000 -- -- - - STATE i. Traffic Signal - Spur & Airport Way E E - 2. Traffic Signal - Spur & Forest Dr. 3. Traffic Signal -Spur &Main 8t. 4. Wildwood (Spur to State Prison) - Paving & Waterline i. GENERAL PROJECTS to Data Bank, Economic Development Committee $ 50,000 2. Bicentennial Project 41000,000 Community Center 3. Recreation Facility Development 500,000 j Little League $1y5,000 200,000 R/Y Park Softball Fields (parking, etc.) 125,000 • i 'q.,• Enlarge the ltenai Harbor Facility $1,250,000 R .s, r - r -2- _:.... DEPT\PWDIR\CIP.LST a , X F it p i is e Lfi � t6� �j 4.fr>91'J��d �J df Itz. 4 8•�vr,,, _�:t'at1 a. ......� �:y),-a �.: c.. ... r/{:...���u:'k*. '. ,YI�'JI`M�IMS!'i�.4t`'t :'li,�<I.+•- V.1,'.� t Economics Research Associates W 9 QUARTERLY REVIE E. wIWTER 1987 IN THIS ISSUE... • ERA ANNOUNCES FORMATION OF UNDER' WATER WORLD COMPANY - — Partnership formed to develop and manage an innovative, exciting aquarium attraction. s. s l ,i �i y 3 t • ERA AND PIER 39TO DEVELOP UNDERWATER WORLD IN SAN FRANCISCO ERA, Ouatar of New Zealand and Pier 39 to seek approvals for development of Underwater World in San Francisco. • TOURISM INDUSTRY OVERBUILT OR OUT OF BALANCE? Bringing the tourism industry back into balance. Achieving economic efficiency is the key. • THE CHANGING ECONOMICS OF GOLF Positive economic and demographic trends bode well for rebounding golf Industry. INTERNATIONAL RESORT AND RECREATION DEVELOPMENT The risks can be managed. A few clues to solving the mystery of overseas development. • TURNING PLANS INTO PROJECTS. ECONOMICS -RESEARCH ASSOCIATES DEVELOPMENT SERVICES ERA establishes subsidiary organization to aid In implementation of projects. L ERA ANNOUNCES FORMATION PNY UNDERWATER WORLD Have you ever studied the under- acrylic tunnel. The nearly 400•foot- travels through large side of a free swimming shark, or a the colorful reef fish long tunnel tanks containing sharks, reef fish, Manta Ray, or Chances are that even if surf dwellers, and other aquatic life. of Hawaii? you are a diver, the opportunities Besides the sheer length of the are several other de - are fairly rare. Economics Research Associates tunnel, there sign elements which enhance the it far (ERA) and ouester Corporation of visitor experience to make (ew sher tunnel announced Wo Id New Zealand recently Underwater formation of Under viewing systems that have been the Company to develop and manage a I developed. new concept in aquarium attrac- - . -The tunnel- W-a long -curved. - - - - t ions. Patterned after the highly suc• closed loop system rather than i in cessful Kelly-Tariton's- Underwater - - the -relatively- short.- straight._ that have previ• i World in Auckland, the attraction and out systems offers visitors a ,journey Under the ously been developed. Sea" to observeunderwater inhabi• wExrPAGEI tants from inside a transparent L RECREATION UUNDERWATER WORLD CONTINUEO) • A curved system projects a true underwater feeling and a sense of mystery and excitement. • The combination of a moving walkway with a stationary plat- form allows visitors to stop and examine activities of particular interest. • Visitors can repeat their trips around the loop as many times as desired. Most go around at least three times and discover something new on each trip. • The acrylic sections are joined by special techniques that pro- vide a nearly seamless bond which does not interfere with the underwater illusion. • The facility makes money. The Auckland attraction is currently running an operating margin of around 50 percent. • It is a very efficient use of land (less than 1 acre►. The time required to go through the 390-foot tunnel is 10 minutes if a visitor remains on the moving footpath. Since nearly everybody moves on and off the footpath sev- eral times, it generally takes 15 to 20 minutes to complete the loop. Total length of stay in the attrac- tion is targeted at just under 1 hour. The original Underwater World in Auckland drew 1 million atten- dees in the first 15 months of oper- ation (this in a city with only 1 mil- lion population and about 500,000 tourists). These characteristics of Under- water World -make It- an economic ally successful stand-alone attrac. - tion, although -ERA- feels that its greatest potential will be as an enter- tainment component of large mixed use projects and shopping com- plexes. The demonstrated ability of Underwater World to attract resi• dents, tourists, school groups, and social/convention activities can be a major factor in establishing the identity of new projects or revital- izing existing investments. Underwater World Company has the ability to develop two to three facilities per year. Due to the in- credibly enthusiastic response we have received from the developers who have reviewed the attraction, Underwater World projects will be scheduled on a priority basis with geographic exclusivity being pro- vided. Options are available for those who wish to reserve rights to the attraction in a specific geo- graphic area. "AS an aquarium without walla, Underwater World is more visually appealing and entertaining than any other aquarium attraction ERA has Investigated." This is the first time in over 27 years -and 8,000 consulting assign- ments that ERA has put its name - on -an -attraction or real estate prod- uct. We think it's a winner. For persons interested in this attraction, contact Clive Jones in ERA's San Francisco office. ERA AND PIER 39 TO DEVELOP UNDERWATER WORLD IN SAN FRANCISCO Economics Research Associates, Questar of New Zealand and Pier 39 Limited Partnership have announced their intention to seek approvals to build Underwater World at Pier 39 in San Francisco. Specific designs are being devel- oped for the 30,000•square-foot building to be constructed at Pier 39's bulkhead overlooking the marina adjacent to Pier 35. The participants plan to formally present the project to the Port of San Francisco in spring of 1987. Groundbreaking is slated for sum• mer of 1987 and Underwater World is scheduled to open a year later. "We are pleased to have the priv- ilege of introducing this- exciting, educational marine life project to the waterfront. We believe it will substantially heighten awareness of the environment and ecology of the waters of our bay and off our coast," said Pier-39-President Fritz Arko.. "Informal review by various city officials -and community organiza- tions indicates great acceptance of the Underwater World at Pier 39 and we look forward to presenting the project for formal approval." L MAI I -all RECREATION MINN TOURISM INDUSTRY ---OVERBUILT OR OUT OF BALANCE? ay Clive a. Jones The refrain "everything and every vanou �"`""aOMT saua market is overbuilt" echoes through ILI the increasingly deserted halls of ^10VAL0 developers and financial institutions. N " ",,,� aua `CONO""` vis^OR What does "overbuilt" mean? Most ._txMrsir WSllow wvra "yM rM/►OYMr"r - - of us in the real estate and tourism industry think of overbuilding as excess office apace or too many GRoWWO hotel rooms, However, overbuild- ing or excess capacity can relate to VA COWOM u�noYM[wr attractions, convention facilities, W r C E WAV u,v�orMnrt airports, or any other tourism product. service or support require- was.roR WDUSSUY - t ment. In most cases, rather than being ac"rbr overbuilt. the tourism industry is DUBUC p,�Mw EVAOYMM"r tcc"owt IMVAO "°"'BASIC rMv1CYMt"r `. out of balance. Some elements of the tourism system are too large in OVERVIEW OF VISITOR IMPACT MODEL terms of: . The number of visitors needed to The private resort developer as an economic unit. There is e Y' support them, or spends much of his time refining need to recognize the system inter- . The economic strain they put on this mix to improve the efficiency relationship so that preferred devel- other segments of the industry. of the economic unit. opments (new attractions or an ex- Over the last several years, the panded convention center to add investment driven market focused i 'There Jaaneed /orgreaier�wer�• among planners of fourism as hotel room support) or marketing ' n hotel and retail development ness an economic system In which support (visitor bureau funding) with very little recognition of the attractions, accommodations, sup • can be given encouragement and need to balance this with pro• port services and marketing are development priority. grammed improvements to the kept in balance." Achieving economic efficiency in tourism product. Today's develop- ment opportunity (requirement) is A tourism destination or city has a tourism destination requires great - of to expand the capacity and appeal the responsibility to maintain the efficiency of its tourism er planning and coordination tourism investment decisions. Dest- _ - of the product so that balance it economic industry, but since decision making inations need to develop a full un- - - - - - regained. ERA assists master planned resort is decentralized, it usually does not derotanding of their tourism system and objectively assess ' end tourism destinations in the have the authority to maintain eco- balance among tourism re- economics the quality of the tourism product. ; ; �. develooment of balanced tourism systems and an efficient economic nomic sources. Industry investments can (ERA is currently conducting such for San Francisco.) With ' unit, which is composed of the scale often be destructive competitively, that is, after the same market an analysis this understanding, they can develop and nature of the attractions !convention center, theme_ going segments,. instead of working to- the mechanisms to interpret system ::. --casino, park, resort beach, etc.), number of gather to achieve an efficient eco-- effects when making development decisions This provides _rooms~ number and type of r�steu• nomic unit. Like the master project, a tourism destine.;- and policy the ��ieans to both Smoot out over - rants, shopping, entertainment and planned must evaluate the structure of building cycles and encourage eeo• " recreation, parking, and market tion its tourism system and recognize it nomfcally beneficial development. . expenditures. L I r �T RECREATION THE CHANGING ECONOMICS OF GOLF By J. Richard McElyea and Gone A Krekorlan Table 1 NUMDER OF GOLFERS WELTED TO INCREASE GOLF NUMBER OF DEMAND GOLFERS PERCENT (Millions PERCENT YEAR (Millions) INCREASE of Rounds) INCREASE 1985 1990 48.1 49.1 — 5.5% 440 466 5.9% 1995 19.9 4.2% 494 5.4% Golf courses have traditionally been treated as "loss leaders" by the real estate and resort industry. They have been regarded as neces- sary but very costly amenities. Re- sort and community developers were satisfied with a breakeven golf course operation if they generated real estate sales or higher room rates and occupancy. This attitude is changing due to increasingly favor- able demographics, growing rave• nues from greens and cart rental fees and improved golf course manage• ment. in our opinion, these three factors will improve the economics of golf significantly. INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE DEMOGRAPHICS Growth in golf play has not been helped by the "baby boom" genera- tion; play was very sluggish in the 19709. However, as this segment of the market moves into the 36- to 55-year-old age bracket — the group which has the highest golf participa• tion rate —and growth occurs in the 65+ population — the group exhibiting the highest per capita play —golf is expected to benefit greltly. Assuming that golf properties and frequency of play patterns re- main essentially unchanged, the number of golfers is expected to Increase by 5.6 percent between 1986 and 1990, and an additional 4.2 percent between 1990 and 1995. But because of population aging, golf demand (number of rounds) is expected to increase at a faster rate than the number of Table 2 INCREASING REVENUES FROM GREENS FEES AND CARTS AVERAGE ANNUAL PERCENT AVERAGE ANNUAL INCREASE IN GREENS FEES INCREASE IN PERIOD_ UNICI A if E E O THE U.S. CPI 1979-1983- -67. --- -8%--- - - 7% - -- - -9'ti - - 1984-1986 12'/i M 15% 4'/. golfers. Moreover, with a growing retirement population, golf demand during midweek periods should also increase at an accelerated rate. Based on this growth forecast, we expect an average of 125 to 150 new courses to be developed annu- ally over the next five to ten years compared to the total average of about 100 courses developed over the past five years. GROWING REVENUE FROM GREENS AND CART FEES During the past three years, both greens and cart rental fees have esca• lated more rapidly than most other items in the national economy. Put another way, there has been lim- ited resistance to increases in greens fees and cart rentals, at least at privately owned daily fee and resort courses. An important corollary trend Is toward the mandatory use of golf carts, particularly at the more expen- sive courses and resorts. A few mu- nicipal courses also demand the use of carts during peak periods. Al- though the primary reason given for demanding the use of carts is to speed up play, economics are an extremely important part of this decision: cart rentals are very prof- itable. The addition of a cart fee can increase the gross revenue per round anywhere from 20 to 60 percent. Increase in cart usage from 30 to 50 percent of the play- ers improves the bottom line j dramatically. IMPROVED GOLF COURSE MANAGEMENT 6 MARKETING 1 — The -golf -course-businesses one --- of very high fixed costs, particularly (NEXT PAGE) j L -1 (GOLF CONrINVED) ,we expect an average of 126 to 160 new courses to be developed annually over the next five to ten years compared to the total aver- age of about 100coursesdeveloped over the past five years. " course maintenance. Once the f ixed costs are covered, a large portion of the additional revenue drops to the bottom line, making the importance of good management and marketing } clear. A number of firms have rec- ... _ - -- ognized the profit potential from the business of good golf course management. These firms now r RECREATION Table 3 INCREASE IN CART USAGE ANNUAL6M2UNt(1000) WI N � WITH 40x MAIM Sox 56 T USAGE CART P-121 MOM GREENS FEES $600 $600 $600 CARTS 170 225 285 CONCESSION REVENUES• _.70 _J2 ._m SUBTOTAL $640 $895 $945 LESS COURSE OPERATING EXPENSES 1500 $500 $300 CART EXPENSES 100 140 120 ALLOTHEREXPENSES —0 -is _W SUBTOTAL $750 $760 $770 NEf OPERATING INCOME S 90 $105 $475 . have contracts with many public agencies and private developers to . manage their courses. By way of The old rules of thumb such as $60 per round, as is the case at example, our studies have shown $50,000 to $100,000 per hole for most Hawaiian resorts, the gross that a municipal course can gener• construction cost and S15,000 to income can jump above $2 mil - ally earn S75,000 to $160,000 $20,000 per hole for annual main- lion. After deducting a generous more annually from the lease of a tenance simply do not apply any $600,000 for maintenance and golf course to a private operator more. New high quality golf $200,000 to $300,000 for general d than from a course under public courses that cost in the range of and administrative and pro shop operation. $4 to $6 million are not unusual expenses, a net of $500,000 to Many golf course managers are ($223,000 to $275,000 per hole), $1 million is achievable. I now considering initiating policies nor are annual maintenance costs A dramatic example of the value y that not only encourage but actu• in the $460,000 to $550,000 range of resort operations is Pebble Beach. ally force faster play. A few courses ($25,000 to $30,000 per hole) for Pebble Beach was sold in the late require golfers to make the "turn" courses operated year-round. 1970s for approximately $75 mil• within two and a half hours, inform. RESORTS lion. The primary value of Pebble ing the golfers on the first nine of Beach was perceived to be the real _ their expected completion time. p Resorts have been, and are likely estate potential of the property. Golfers are not allowed to continue to continue to be, the major bone. This situation has been reversed. k play in the back nine if they fail to ficiaries of the improving econom• The resort operations of Pebble t - achieve their time target. Ensuring ge ics of golf. Beach alone produce sufficient rev. Cs a five•hour round increases capacity To illustrate the potential from enue to support the original selling by as much as 10 percent, particu- golf course operations, let's take a price without considering the addl- f lady on municipal courses. Again, resort golf course that achieves an tional land and inventory. As resort -----------------------------=- - . -with-the fixed costs of increas• -average- of- 40,000 rounds -of play operations -were becoming increaa._-- ing play and revenue by 10 percent per year and has an average fee of ingly strong, environmental pres• dramatically improves -the- bottom- -$35 (including cart), this- produces-- --sures and -slow growth factors made - - -- - - --- ---- - -- --- - Iine performance. gross revenue of $1.4 million. At the real estate potential in the Del As golf course profits continue to climb so, unfortunately, dodevel- 50,000 rounds, the gross revenue increases to over $1.7 million. If Monte Forest much more difficult to achieve, further increasing the bl t h r to value of successful resort operations. opment and maintenance costs. the resort �s a e o c a ge up Exempted from Urban Land USOJIMe. t RECREATION - INTERNATIONAL RESORT AND RECREATION DEVELOPMENT THE RISKS CAN DE MANAGED Many companies are reluctant to move across national boundaries to develop resort and recreation prop- erties. They have concerns about lack of market knowledge, tax laws, and other issues. However, expert ence indicates that with appropriate planning, recreation development opportunities can be identified and market niches developed for growth and diversity. Projected increases in leisure expenditures in many countries are impressive. For exam - pie, see the data on British leisure in Figure 1. Thus, the effort to penetrate a foreign market can be worth while in terms of financial returns and is not as complex as generally believed. Outlined below . is a simplified list of the basic con• } siderations for resort and recreation development on an international } 4 level. • Concepts. Whether the proposed development is a resort or theme park or water park or other attrac- tion, it is critical to determine if the i concept will transfer to the foreign culture. The primary technique to provide this test is the focus group, �- - which can be used to determine local reaction to pricing, theming, '- - - !' image, operating mode, and other factors. p..• • Site Selection. One of the most .; publicized and comprehensive site selections was recently undertaken by the Disney Company which even• -_ ------=----- -- ; tually- -selected a 4,OMacre- site . outside of Paris for its European - -r--=---- -- �- - - _ -----------Disneyland. - Many -companies have - learned that a theoretical "best site" - is not always available, but a work• able site which can be assembled sy Thomas A. Feeney and is politically acceptable is more appealing. As part of this process in an international project, care must be taken to verify information regarding the site. For example, it is common for off -site infrastruc• ture plans in some countries to be published on an informal basis. . Pricing. One of the most difficult issues faced by International recrea- tion developments is pricing. Per- haps most effected are hotels which may be familiar with the European Plan and then must work in an envi- ronment where full pension is the standard. It is important to under- stand how the full pension plan can affect operating statements and food and beverage revenues. Simi• INEXr PAGEI Figure Z CURRENCY EXCHANGE AGAINST U.S. DOLLAR INDEX 110 loo M1 SWITZERIAND 90 am IM AUSTRA 80 GpRMANY Ppr 49 VAJ 70Ema ENGLAND �a ""CE 60 MEN ITALY soME SPAIN 40 - _ 4979 4980 1981 1982 1980 49" 1985 4986 touruaanunw�/woaaa �iiiiirii L i I i -i I - - - - RECREATION - FAVERAGE Figure 3 FIGURES FORMANUFACTURING WORKERS ANNTOF WOLHOM M F N DAYSTAKEN PUDUC HOLIDAYS TOTAL VACA ON$ 0984) (1982) (1982) KOLIDAYs ADIIOAD JAPAN 4,/80 9.6 18.4 27.7 N!A DWAN 1.944 22.8 &0 00.5 05% UNITED STATES 1,904 49.3 9.4 28.6 NIA WWC,,VWANY 1,652 00.9 10.6 40.8 60% D{,sHM 4,649 45.0 10.0 35.0 46% so�.oh+apan.»Mw�naloeor. �veeawatten+nwYon country. It is advisable to use a construction or project management firm with international experience. • Financing. The customary terms of financing will vary by country. In Europe, for example, theamount of debt which is typically allowed on a development is lower than in the United States. However, the use of guarantees rather than cash equity is more common. Factors which are I most likely to affect financial re- turns include depreciation sched- ules, treatment of capital gains, property tax rules, and taxes on non. residents. Most developed countries h e tax treaties among themselves; mom IResoor a RECREAT•JON coNrmuEol dance is expected prior to reaching however, the terms of these treaties larly, recreation attractions may a stabilized level, which enables the can vary widely and should be in. need to initiate two-tier pricing or market to become familiar with the vestigated prior to establishing the season passes, or some form of die- concept. In addition, the patterns development entity. count to accommodate a local pop- of attendance may vary dramatic• ulation with a more modest income ally. For example, in southern •Government Support. It is ex- ! level than the tourist population. Spain it is traditional for families to tremely valuable to have a local go out late in the evening, and the staff or sponsor who can represent • Inflation, of course, affects proj• dinner hour also occurs very late, a project to the local government. ects even in one's own country, but which extends the hours of opera• This may require a joint venture ,{ becomes more complex when deal- tion for an attraction. Further• partner in the host country to avoid ing in an international market. In- more, there are significant differ- costly misunderstandings. Most flation can directly affect the ex- ences in the amount of vacation governments have programs to sub* change rate of the host country and time available in various national sidize industries they are seeking to j therefore affect both the appeal of markets, as documented in Figure 3. develop. In southern Italy (Mezzo- i i a recreation project to the Interna• tional market and a nonresident's •Management. For a nonresident giorno) there are low interest loans and grants; however, some of these j t development costs. During detailed investor, professional managers are Two important considera• do not apply to the tourist sector planning and pricing, both an infla• a must, tions the need for a selection or apply only to certain classes of - - tion index and an exchange index should be used to reflect the role- are process to compare the qualifi-ca hotels. _ 1 tionships of these factors between tions of various management com- and the negotiation of the ERA has been involved in hun• f the host country and the relevant panies. management contract which reflects dreds of resort and recreation proj- � markets, Figure 2 shows the recent dramatic change in the strength of unique features of the local business ects around the world and we be• lieve that the risks inherent in these I I European currencies against the environment. developments can be analyzed and ---=--------------- - U,5,-doltar. Such fluctuationscan - - -- • Design/Costs. Oevetopment costs managed. If this is done, and a- ---- . .. - -- --------- -- ---- be hedged by forward exchange can be controlled by using the local proper niche is established and ap• -- - — — design vocabulary -and materials.- to proprlate localsupportisdeveloped,----------___--- ' • Attendance. When a new recrea• Lion addition, regardless of where the design is developed, working draw- these projects can produce attractive rates of return and provide growth concept is introduced any- where, a period of buildup in atten• ings should be produced in the local and diversification for the sponsors. La � RECREATION .r,. TURNING PLANS INTO PROJECTS ECONOMICS RESEARCH ASSOCIATES DEVELOPMENT SERVICES By Thomas A. Feeney Many times even a well planned development services and the.cost is able to monitor front-end expen• project runs into difficulty during of these services can vary greatly. ses and only pays full fees upon Its implementation stages. In fact, For example, using a general part• successful completion of the assign• many real estate projects are initi• ner to obtain funds through a lime ment. ated by sponsors in the expectation ited partnership offering could re- Companies facing a difficult real that others will participate during quire giving away up to 60 percent estate project or entering the real implementation. However, in ERA's of a project, while, on the other estate development field or some experience we have found one com• hand, retaining an investment coun• specialized aspect of it for the first mon thread; all participants in the selor to act as a finder may require time may require outside skills- in planning process are interested in only 6 percent of equity raised. the form of development services. built projects. Often in the early Offering these typesof development ERA has established a subsidiary, stages of a real estate development services on a fee basis is a relatively Economics Research Associates an A&E firm will take the lead, new phenomenon. Some firms Development Services (ERADS), only to find that critical compo• work strictly on an hourly basis; to provide this type of expertise to nents such as operators, equity however, this does not provide an its clients. We expect the demand partners, funding for predevelop• incentive to perform, Probably the for this service to increase dramatic• ment expenses, or specialized skills most effective payment mechanism ally as the competitiveness of real important to making the project for these types of services is a basic estate development and the com• work are missing. Similarly, banks fee plus a performance bonus. The plexity of international financial and S&Ls with problem real estate basic fee (time and materials) covers markets increases. loans or land owners with limited those services which provide imme- For more information on ERAOS development experience face diffi• diate products for the project owner and our development services for culties in turning their plans into such as a list of prospects, brochures, real estate, please contact Thomas projects. and presentations. The performance A.- Feeney, President, Economics Selecting an equity partner is one bonus, usually a percent of project Research Associates Development of the most challenging issues which value, is paid upon successful close Services, 1160 Battery Street, Suite will come up during the implemen- ing of a deal. This approach is most 350, San Francisco, California tation process. Certainly such a equitable to both aides. The owner 94111, (418) 966.0152. partner must be compatible in terms of mode of operation, personality, and financial needs with the initial per► Economics Research Associates owners and investors. A long proc• Conwhann In Real Estate b Recreation Economics, ess can ensue in negotiating finan• finance, Marketing, Planning b Management. cial terms. Valuing the different Los"Gan SAN""CISCO assets and determining when these contributions will occur, as well as Como,omme0d*10" 1s 10960Wilshire Wulevatd•Suite 2400 1/600•It•1ysINlLSuNe0S0 San Francisco, California 94141 valuing future returns to investors, Los Angeles. California tel•phon.t2+0)4».o5e5 iNephonet 1095"152 Tel xswroU0890 usually requires detailed financial Wort 857661•►AX478.1950 SEATni CHICAGO OOSTON projections and ongoing sensitivity testing during the negotiation proc• 1a00114fhAvenveS,i, 140S.0eaftmkr•a UANW" late wife140 Swe042 124Mount AYbYm%#W ess,__The priml3ry-rule for Initial In eeiievw.Washington98M Chkago, 110nob 60603 %No1512 i�lephanet206)4S1.1390. Tel@VhW, (012)00�•0410-- -- _ Comb"- Mossodws•m09195 vestors is to do the homework first Tel•owen•(a17)OU-1900 _-- _- and -be_ preameed- to_ have_ answers _ wASHIHOTOH, D.C. - —5521 Old Counhouseflood.-Swn020 FT. tAUOtAOAtt - - - amloN-0awardO . kWOS .. -- - -- during the negotiation process. Vienna, Virginia 22180 Telephonet700691•1560 k Lauderdale. FIW 00,101 Teleph"(305)521.1105 The approaches to obtaining 7 El f11 ,M I; i j' rl ' ,r o- ^ I�E � i. '�i ��, it I�� 1� 1/� ` l�•i'.� .� •l� Lys.. f 0 Y j ,,►47... C.,VIL 1-7 a fl-�-7 i y 70, vi n k 4V I . L. a , 1 / � 1 i 1 , ✓! � �, ice' .: a �+--I. ��� a r01�t { 01 y r.. a �17 fo .�A7VIA �--- r r oxJI F AL n i.!! � �.; � �,.� ;IX ,�f1 • 1.9 1 y- , .� P , ,1'=�__ . ' � ., ;,. III 1 JJJV Of I ti ��`•.� �..-.,' �.. J..'7'S ,ice" � 4 � "(��h. If��.�7wrc��� f 01, A-1 p p • � i r •` �14 � . A � f � i � � Q � s-:+-�. a •, r ,fit !�, ► •' ,,, A� �� ' '.'� i r ALA r.u. _ _.. , �� � rj'a.`�' f f � '���I . � •" '� {/{�: � �/ ;� i i ,rd {i1 I} I�G i rY ri -al .1 LO/ L,&,vlA,,vt4 -..w - - I al 6*0� 1p. 6-d tv rl C--) C-0 vi 44